Verbosity = expected share of an event's listed words that get spoken, from each family's history, tightened by every live settle. Low (mint, ≤35%) = quiet format, strongest NO ground; red (≥50%) = word furnace — more speech, more YES.
Bellwether Numbers · tends the maybe-flock: at T-24h the political market's verdict is formed but the 30-55% band stays overpriced on YES by 7-12 points · bottom-6 per event, NO limits 20¢ under the anchor · backtest +45% (2025) / +33% (2026)